As states try to recover from the devastating impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, not much has changed in global affairs in 2021. The downward trend in the U.S. primacy, the lack of global leadership, and problems in global governance are still persistent, leaving more room for the rise of the “rest,” including China and Russia. In this context, the ongoing transformation in the international system and the return of great power politics have produced global ambivalence, compelling many states, including Turkey, to reconsider their foreign policies and readjust their position in the international arena.
From a regional perspective, important changes have been going on, including the regional realignment in the Middle East and North Africa, the continuous strategic competition in the Eastern Mediterranean, and the increased tensions in the Black Sea.
These intertwined dynamics will continue to shape Turkey’s geopolitical landscape for 2022, bringing to the fore the necessity for Turkey to focus on improving its strategic resilience by contemplating how to use its resources so it can consolidate its strategy while avoiding possible distractions.
SETA Security Radar 2022 aims to offer a general background of the main dynamics that shaped Turkey’s geopolitical portfolio in 2021 followed by a prognosis about the foreign policy and strategy that Türkiye may follow in 2022.